February 19, 2018
We have known for some time now that American college students and graduates are being swamped in a tsunami of student loans. Now, a new study released by the Brookings Institute last week shows that the number of large-balance student loan borrowers – individuals with over $50,000 in student loans – is on the rise. In 2014, 5 million borrowers had these large loan balances, representing 17% of student borrowers leaving college or grad school, up from 2% of all borrowers in 1990. Large-balance borrowers now account for 58% of the nation’s $1.4 trillion in outstanding student debt, and Brookings found that most borrowers who owed at least $50,000 in student loans had not paid down any of their debt four years later. On the contrary, their loan balances had on average risen by 5% as interest accrued on their debt.
The main drivers of these large-balance student loans are rising tuition levels and increased demand for graduate and professional degrees. Nearly half of today’s large-balance student loans are held by individuals who went to graduate school. Students who attend graduate school are not subject to the same federal loan limits that undergraduate students are, allowing graduate schools to charge higher levels of tuition and resulting in higher loan amounts. That being said, tuition costs have been on the rise for undergraduates too, which has contributed to the increases in student loan debt. With regard to balances rising rather than falling, the biggest factor is interest on these loans. Whether borrowers are using debt-relief plans that have low monthly payments, known as income-driven repayment, or they have postponed making payments on the plans, interest continues to accrue, adding to the overall balance.
We have, Tom. According to another Brookings study, two in five borrowers are likely to default within five years. Analysis of recently-released data on student loans concluded that almost 40% of borrowers entering college in 2004 are likely to default on their student loans by 2023. Among those students, there was a broad spectrum of risk. Students who enrolled in for-profit colleges were twice as likely to default within 12 years as those who entered public universities, while the default rates for black graduates are five times those of their white peers.
To begin with, the rise in large-balance student loans creates significant financial pressure for those who are burdened by them. When the balances rise or the borrowers default, credit scores can be damaged. Student loans are also not dispensable through bankruptcy, so the debt will be with them until they have repaid it.
The effects are not restricted to individuals. They also ripple through the economy. Student debt stifles spending, as borrowers have less to spend. According to a StudentLoanHero survey, nearly half of student loan borrowers have put off buying a car because of their student loan debt, and a third of shoppers say they will limit holiday spending due to student debt. Forty-one percent of student loan holders have delayed homeownership. Finally, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia notes that student loans prevent borrowers from starting businesses. Combined, the effects of student loans have wide-reaching, indirect effects linked to slow economic growth and productivity.
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