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Ariel Investments

Investment Objective

The Ariel Focused Value Product seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing in medium/large-sized undervalued companies in consistent industries that show strong potential for growth.  We look for issuers that provide quality products or services.

To capture anticipated growth, the Ariel Focused Value Product generally holds investments for a relatively long period, typically two to five years.  Our mid/large cap strategy invests in companies with market capitalizations generally over $10 billion.

Top Ten Equity Holdings as of September 30, 2008


  SECURITY DESCRIPTION % of Total Value
1.  Johnson & Johnson 6.3
2.  Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 6.2
3.  Accenture Ltd 5.5
4.  Toyota Motor Corp. 5.4
5.  Aflac Inc. 5.4
6.  Illinois Tool Works Inc. 5.4
7.  International Business Machines Corp. 5.3
8.  JPMorgan Chase & Co. 5.3
9.  Omnicom Group Inc. 5.3
10.  Carnival Corp. 5.2
    Grand Total 55.3%

Ariel Focused Value Composite Performance as of October 31, 2008

Inception date: March 31, 2005 Annualized
  One
Month
Three Months Year To Date One
Year
Three Years Five
Years
Ten
Years
Since Inception
Gross of Fees -19.52% -23.02% -28.39% -33.34% -6.00% N/A N/A -3.42%
Net of Fees -19.59% -23.21% -29.00% -34.01% -6.93% N/A N/A -4.37%
Russell 1000 Value Index1 -17.31% -22.08% -32.90% -36.80% -5.24% 1.90% 2.79% -3.63%
Russell 1000 Index2 -17.46% -24.30% -33.55% -36.80% -5.51% 0.37% 0.75% -3.53%
S&P 500 Index3 -16.79% -23.11% -32.84% -36.10% -5.21% 0.26% 0.40% -3.52%

Ariel Focused Value Composite Performance as of September 30, 2008

Inception date: March 31, 2005 Annualized
  One
Month
Three Months Year To Date One
Year
Three Years Five
Years
Ten
Years
Since Inception
Gross of Fees -6.75% -2.56% -11.02% -15.83% 0.90% N/A N/A 2.68%
Net of Fees -6.83% -2.80% -11.70% -16.68% -0.10% N/A N/A 1.66%
Russell 1000 Value Index1 -7.35% -6.11% -18.85% -23.56% 0.09% 7.12% 5.55% 1.66%
Russell 1000 Index2 -9.53% -9.35% -19.50% -22.10% 0.13% 5.50% 3.49% 1.82%
S&P 500 Index3 -8.91% -8.37% -19.29% -21.98% 0.22% 5.17% 3.06% 1.60%

Ariel Investments, LLC. is a registered investment adviser with a historic specialty in small and midcap value investment management. Employing a purely bottom up approach, Ariel seeks to identify high quality companies that are currently undervalued but have demonstrated a potential for growth.

Ariel Investments claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). Performance results are net of transaction costs, are net of withholding taxes, if any, and reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. Net returns reflect the deduction of the maximum advisory fee in effect for the respective period, which is currently 1.00% per annum. The Ariel Focused Value Composite focuses on earnings consistency and predictability, high quality management teams, and financial strength. The Ariel Focused Value Composite differs from its benchmarks with dramatically fewer holdings concentrated in fewer sectors. As of September 30, 2008, assets in the Ariel Focused Value Composite were $293.8 million, which represented 4.1% of the firm’s total assets. The Ariel Focused Value Composite has been examined for the periods from April 1, 2005 through December 31, 2007. Returns are calculated in U.S. dollars. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing in midcap stocks is more risky and more volatile than investing in large cap stocks.

Click here to obtain a complete list and description of Ariel Investments, LLC’s composites and/or a presentation that adheres to the GIPS standards. You may also contact Krista Rivers at 800-725-0140, or write Ariel Investments, 200 East Randolph Drive, Suite 2900, Chicago, Illinois, 60601.

The Russell 1000 Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. As of September 30, 2008, this index had an average market capitalization of $36.9 billion based on a dollar-weighting of all holdings.

The Russell 1000 Index measures the performance of the 1000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represents approximately 92% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. As of September 30, 2008, this index had an average market capitalization of $34.2 billion based on a dollar-weighting of all holdings.

The S&P 500 Index includes a representative sample of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. As of September 30, 2008, this index had an average market capitalization of $45.5 billion based on a dollar-weighting of all holdings.

Top Ten Equity Holdings as of September 30, 2008


  SECURITY DESCRIPTION % of Total Value
1.  Johnson & Johnson 6.3
2.  Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 6.2
3.  Accenture Ltd 5.5
4.  Toyota Motor Corp. 5.4
5.  Aflac Inc. 5.4
6.  Illinois Tool Works Inc. 5.4
7.  International Business Machines Corp. 5.3
8.  JPMorgan Chase & Co. 5.3
9.  Omnicom Group Inc. 5.3
10.  Carnival Corp. 5.2
    Grand Total 55.3%

Portfolio Composition (%) as of September 30, 2008

  Ariel Focused Value Russell 1000 Value Russell 1000 S&P500
Consumer Discretionary and Services 31.3% 8.9% 11.4% 10.5%
Financial Services 18.8 27.9 17.2 16.9
Health Care 16.0 12.0 13.3 13.4
Technology 10.4 3.1 14.1 14.8
Other 10.1 5.2 3.6 3.8
Autos and Transportation 5.6 1.7 2.6 2.7
Producer Durables 5.5 2.8 5.0 4.7
Materials and Processing 2.3 4.5 4.7 3.9
Utilities 0.0 11.3 6.6 6.6
Other Energy 0.0 4.1 5.7 5.3
Integrated Oils 0.0 11.2 7.0 7.9
Consumer Staples 0.0 7.3 8.8 9.5
* Represents percentage of total equity holdings

The Russell 1000® Value Index measures the performance of larger, value-oriented companies with lower price-to-earnings ratios. The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of larger companies. The S&P 500 Index is a broad market-weighted index dominated by blue chip stocks.

Portfolio Characteristics (%) as of September 30, 2008

  Ariel Focused Value Russell 1000 Value Russell 1000 Index S&P 500
Average Market Capitalization $33.6 B $36.9 B $34.2 B $45.5 B
Median Market Capitalization 28.1 3.8 4.2 9.4
Number of Holdings 22 662 998 499
Wall Street Analysts Per Stock 13 15 16 17
Turnover (%) 46.2 N/A N/A N/A
P/E (forward) 12.6 10.8 12.0 12.0
Beta (vs. Russell 3000 Index) 0.92 0.80 0.89 0.86
Price/Book 2.4 1.7 2.3 2.3
Dividend Yield (%) 1.7 3.2 2.3 2.4
Return on Equity (5 year) (%) 19.6 18.3 20.8 21.3
EPS Growth (forward) (%) 11.4 9.5 12.1 11.9
* Represents percentage of total equity holdings

The Russell 1000® Value Index measures the performance of larger, value-oriented companies with lower price-to-earnings ratios. The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of larger companies. The S&P 500 Index is a broad market-weighted index dominated by blue chip stocks.

For definitions of terms used, see Glossary.

Schedule of Holdings as of September 30, 2008

Shares Security Description CUSIP Ticker Market Price Market Value % of Net Assets
8,800 Johnson & Johnson 478160104 JNJ 69.28 609,664 6.3
135 Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 084670207 BRK--B 4395.00 593,325 6.2
14,000 Accenture Ltd G1150G111 ACN 38.00 532,000 5.5
6,100 Toyota Motor Corp. 892331307 TM 85.80 523,380 5.4
8,900 Aflac Inc. 001055102 AFL 58.75 522,875 5.4
11,600 Illinois Tool Works Inc. 452308109 ITW 44.45 515,620 5.4
4,400 International Business Machines Corp. 459200101 IBM 116.96 514,624 5.3
11,000 JPMorgan Chase & Co. 46625H100 JPM 46.70 513,700 5.3
13,100 Omnicom Group Inc. 681919106 OMC 38.56 505,136 5.3
14,100 Carnival Corp. 143658300 CCL 35.35 498,435 5.2
24,700 IMS Health Inc. 449934108 RX 18.91 467,077 4.9
27,300 Dell Inc. 24702R101 DELL 16.48 449,904 4.7
6,900 Black & Decker Corp. 091797100 BDK 60.75 419,175 4.4
7,650 Covidien Ltd. G2552X108 COV 53.76 411,264 4.3
10,050 Tyco International Ltd. G9143X208 TYC 35.02 351,951 3.7
10,800 Walt Disney Co. 254687106 DIS 30.69 331,452 3.4
9,300 Tiffany & Co. 886547108 TIF 35.52 330,336 3.4
13,700 eBay, Inc. 278642103 EBAY 22.38 306,606 3.2
287,586 Cash Balance CASH 1.00 287,586 3.0
7,900 American Express Company 025816109 AXP 35.43 279,897 2.9
2,800 Franklin Resources, Inc. 354613101 BEN 88.13 246,764 2.6
8,300 USG Corp. 903293405 USG 25.60 212,480 2.2
11,025 UBS AG H89231338 UBS 17.54 193,379 2.0
Grand Total     $9,616,630 100.0%  
Objective  |   Strategy

Investment Objective

The Ariel Focused Value Product seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing in medium/large-sized undervalued companies in consistent industries that show strong potential for growth. We look for issuers that provide quality products or services

Investment Strategy and Approach

To capture anticipated growth, the Ariel Focused Value Product generally holds investments for a relatively long period, typically two to five years.  Our mid/large cap value strategy invests in companies with market capitalizations primarily over $10 billion.

Our Approach to Investing
By concentrating on the long-term, our patient approach allows us to take advantage of the great buying opportunities that frequently arise from Wall Street’s excessive focus on the short-term.

We invest in quality companies in industries where we have proven expertise. And we only buy when these quality businesses are selling at excellent values.

Quality

  • We invest in quality companies whose future prospects include: high barriers to entry; sustainable competitive advantages; and predictable fundamentals that allow for double digit cash earnings growth.
  • We invest with quality management teams who: are candid and honest; are able to clearly articulate and execute a strategy; have proven that they can attract and retain great people; and have demonstrated they invest cash wisely.
  • We invest in companies with improving prospects for quality financials including the ability to ultimately demonstrate: high returns on capital; strong balance sheets; and low reinvestment requirements.

 

Expertise

  • Our industry concentration enables us to have value-added expertise in areas we know extraordinarily well.
  • Our voracious reading of trade publications, newspapers, press releases, company financials and other corporate communications is critical to our decision making.
  • Our expansive scuttlebutt network of third-party contacts includes customers, suppliers, former employees and competitors who serve to independently verify our investment thesis.

 

Value

  • As Warren Buffett disciples, we challenge conventional wisdom which allows us to stand out from the investing crowd.
  • As disciplined investors, we seek to invest in companies when they are trading at a low valuation relative to potential earnings (p/e less than 13x forward cash earnings) and/or a low valuation relative to intrinsic worth (40% discount to private market value—PMV).
  • As value investors, we make opportunistic purchases when great companies are temporarily out of favor.

 

The Investment Process
We believe that successful long-term investing is not a matter of guesswork or speculation but of diligent research and sound judgment. We are convinced that both original, creative research and intensive stock analysis are important components of long-term investment success. Thus, at weekly research meetings, our research team debates the merits of individual issues with a disciplined approach that involves qualitative as well as quantitative analysis. All research professionals are charged with conducting proprietary, fundamental research. Our process consists of rigorous financial and fundamental analysis focusing on such elements as product and service quality, management ability, and the presence of a strong and consistent business franchise. Ariel’s initial stock universe is developed through several methods, including extensive reading, industry contacts, and fundamental stock analysis. All of these are discussed in more detail below.

Extensive Reading
Through disciplined reading of business journals, general interest periodicals, trade publications, and Wall Street research reports, our investment team continually monitors trends in the marketplace. As they scour the markets for undervalued stocks, our investment team is continually searching for issues that have been widely ignored by Wall Street analysts, institutional investors, and the media.

Industry Contacts
As we continually search for new stock ideas or look to uncover additional information about current holdings, we maintain a host of contacts. Our investment professionals are experts in the industries they cover and have cultivated deep contacts that are not limited to the investment professionals with whom we often share ideas, trade information and debate points of view. They also include competitors, customers, suppliers, and others who may be able to add important insights to our proprietary research process. In keeping with our investigative research effort, we believe that the knowledge derived from these sources allows for more informed investment decisions. 

Fundamental Stock Analysis
When a stock appears attractive, we take the next step; our research analysts work with the appropriate investment committee member to make a preliminary recommendation. This review includes analysis of historical and projected financial performance, a thorough check on product quality, as well as an in-depth study of company fundamentals and future prospects. Promising stocks are then subjected to a comprehensive industry review. We conduct on-site visits to inspect facilities and to conduct face-to-face interviews with a company’s senior managers. Since we believe that management is a critical determinant of long-term success, we want to know all that we can about the background and business history of a company’s key people. We ask the basic resume questions about prior jobs, educational background, and community involvement as a means of assessing a manager’s commitment to their business and their probability of long-term success. We further probe into their understanding of overall industry trends, ability to articulate and reach expected goals, and knowledge of their competitors’ advantages, among other key areas of discussion. This important information is largely absent from Wall Street research reports. We look to see that the goals, objectives, and values discussed in annual reports and press releases are confirmed and reinforced by what senior managers say and do.

Following the preliminary fact gathering period, our analysts and investment committee members prepare a report on the company and distribute it to the entire research staff with a proposal to complete a full report or monitor or avoid the security. Ideas are then discussed in detail at weekly research meetings, and subsequent investment committee meetings, to candidly debate the merits of each issue and challenge one another’s thinking.

If the co-portfolio managers determine that further research needs to be prepared, the analyst and investment committee member would complete a full report, conduct any additional independent verification, and provide the completed report for discussion at the next investment committee meeting. The final decision on whether to purchase or avoid the security is determined by the co-portfolio managers.

Portfolio Snapshot

Portfolio Snapshots offer monthly and quarterly commentary on the performance of Ariel's portfolios.

Open the latest Ariel Focused Value Portfolio Snapshot

Quarterly Portfolio Manager Commentary

This quarterly letter offers a performance update as well as our thoughts on the economy and our perspectives on investing.

Open the latest Ariel Focused Value Product Quarterly Letter

Additional Commentary

For commentary on all of our products, including Portfolio Snapshots, the quarterly letters from our Portfolio Managers and a replay of our latest conference call, visit our main Commentary area.